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21 Apr 2025 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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48.5%
Doncaster
25.3%
Draw
26.1%
Colchester

Expected Goals (xG)

1.46

Doncaster

vs
0.99

Colchester

Markets

BTTS47.6%
Over 0.591.9%
Over 1.569.6%
Over 2.544.2%
Over 3.523.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
13.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-0
9.2%
0-1
9.1%
2-1
9.1%
0-0
8.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-0
4.5%
3-1
4.4%
0-2
4.2%
3-2
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).