Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →24.7%
Queens Park
27.4%
Draw
47.9%
Ayr
Expected Goals (xG)
1.19
Queens Park
vs
1.71
Ayr
Markets
BTTS58.7%
Over 0.592.7%
Over 1.580.3%
Over 2.555.4%
Over 3.533.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.0%
1-2
9.6%
0-2
8.1%
0-1
7.7%
0-0
7.3%
2-1
6.6%
2-2
5.7%
1-3
5.5%
1-0
4.8%
0-3
4.6%
2-0
3.9%
2-3
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).