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AHT: 01CSV

13 Apr 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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42.0%
Blackpool
22.1%
Draw
35.9%
Peterboro

Expected Goals (xG)

1.60

Blackpool

vs
1.46

Peterboro

Markets

BTTS60.5%
Over 0.596.3%
Over 1.580.2%
Over 2.559.2%
Over 3.536.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.0%
2-1
8.8%
1-0
8.4%
1-2
8.0%
0-1
7.7%
2-2
6.4%
2-0
6.0%
0-2
5.0%
3-1
4.7%
1-3
3.9%
0-0
3.7%
3-2
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).