Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.9%
Ath Bilbao
24.3%
Draw
22.8%
Sevilla
Expected Goals (xG)
1.72
Ath Bilbao
vs
1.05
Sevilla
Markets
BTTS53.6%
Over 0.593.5%
Over 1.576.7%
Over 2.552.4%
Over 3.530.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.7%
2-0
9.3%
0-0
6.5%
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.9%
3-1
5.6%
3-0
5.3%
2-2
5.1%
0-2
3.4%
3-2
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).