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26 Sept 2024 · 16:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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45.2%
Hartberg
30.0%
Draw
24.8%
WSG Tirol

Expected Goals (xG)

1.31

Hartberg

vs
0.90

WSG Tirol

Markets

BTTS44.2%
Over 0.588.2%
Over 1.565.7%
Over 2.538.0%
Over 3.518.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.8%
1-0
13.5%
0-0
11.8%
2-0
9.4%
0-1
9.0%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
5.8%
0-2
4.4%
3-0
4.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-1
3.7%
1-3
1.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).