Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.4%
Vallecano
26.7%
Draw
24.9%
Sevilla
Expected Goals (xG)
1.49
Vallecano
vs
0.99
Sevilla
Markets
BTTS48.9%
Over 0.591.3%
Over 1.571.0%
Over 2.545.0%
Over 3.523.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.6%
1-0
12.2%
2-0
9.3%
2-1
9.2%
0-0
8.7%
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.1%
3-0
4.6%
3-1
4.6%
2-2
4.5%
0-2
4.1%
3-2
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).