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AHT: 10CSV

17 Oct 2020 · 16:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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26.6%
Reims
27.5%
Draw
45.9%
Lorient

Expected Goals (xG)

0.92

Reims

vs
1.31

Lorient

Markets

BTTS43.5%
Over 0.589.5%
Over 1.564.8%
Over 2.538.4%
Over 3.518.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
14.5%
1-1
12.6%
0-0
10.5%
1-0
10.3%
0-2
9.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-1
6.0%
2-0
4.6%
0-3
4.0%
2-2
3.9%
1-3
3.7%
3-1
1.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).