Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →74.0%
Hoffenheim
15.9%
Draw
10.1%
Schalke 04
Expected Goals (xG)
2.69
Hoffenheim
vs
0.94
Schalke 04
Markets
BTTS57.1%
Over 0.596.9%
Over 1.588.2%
Over 2.570.2%
Over 3.549.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
9.6%
2-1
9.0%
3-0
8.6%
3-1
8.1%
1-1
7.2%
1-0
6.7%
4-0
5.8%
4-1
5.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-2
3.8%
1-2
3.1%
5-0
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).