Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →55.3%
Greuther Furth
22.0%
Draw
22.6%
Erzgebirge Aue
Expected Goals (xG)
2.19
Greuther Furth
vs
1.37
Erzgebirge Aue
Markets
BTTS66.9%
Over 0.596.3%
Over 1.587.8%
Over 2.568.9%
Over 3.547.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.4%
2-1
9.4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
6.8%
2-2
6.4%
1-2
5.8%
1-0
5.4%
3-0
5.0%
3-2
4.7%
4-1
3.7%
0-0
3.7%
0-1
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).