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AHT: 01CSV

27 Apr 2025 · 18:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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28.8%
AEK
35.6%
Draw
35.6%
Olympiakos

Expected Goals (xG)

0.82

AEK

vs
0.95

Olympiakos

Markets

BTTS35.6%
Over 0.581.8%
Over 1.554.1%
Over 2.526.2%
Over 3.510.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
18.2%
0-1
14.9%
1-1
14.5%
1-0
12.8%
0-2
7.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-0
5.8%
2-1
5.5%
2-2
2.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-3
2.0%
3-0
1.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).