Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →93.7%
Notts County
5.0%
Draw
1.3%
Maidstone
Expected Goals (xG)
3.99
Notts County
vs
0.47
Maidstone
Markets
BTTS37.1%
Over 0.598.7%
Over 1.593.9%
Over 2.582.2%
Over 3.565.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
12.2%
4-0
12.2%
5-0
9.8%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-1
5.8%
5-1
4.6%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
4.3%
1-1
2.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-2
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).