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DHT: 11

04 May 2025 · 13:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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33.6%
Akhmat Grozny
31.9%
Draw
34.5%
CSKA Moskva

Expected Goals (xG)

1.12

Akhmat Grozny

vs
1.14

CSKA Moskva

Markets

BTTS47.3%
Over 0.587.9%
Over 1.567.5%
Over 2.539.2%
Over 3.519.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.9%
0-0
12.1%
0-1
10.3%
1-0
10.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-1
7.5%
0-2
6.8%
2-0
6.6%
2-2
4.2%
1-3
2.9%
3-1
2.8%
0-3
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).