Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.6%
Watford
31.8%
Draw
29.6%
Leicester
Expected Goals (xG)
1.24
Watford
vs
1.06
Leicester
Markets
BTTS48.4%
Over 0.588.2%
Over 1.568.8%
Over 2.540.5%
Over 3.520.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
15.0%
0-0
11.8%
1-0
10.6%
0-1
8.8%
2-1
8.2%
2-0
7.7%
1-2
7.0%
0-2
5.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-1
3.4%
3-0
3.2%
1-3
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).