Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.3%
Sturm Graz
30.3%
Draw
27.4%
Hartberg
Expected Goals (xG)
1.28
Sturm Graz
vs
0.98
Hartberg
Markets
BTTS46.0%
Over 0.588.5%
Over 1.566.9%
Over 2.539.2%
Over 3.519.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.1%
1-0
12.4%
0-0
11.5%
0-1
9.3%
2-0
8.6%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
6.4%
0-2
5.0%
2-2
4.1%
3-0
3.6%
3-1
3.6%
1-3
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).