Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.7%
Juventus
20.6%
Draw
17.8%
Genoa
Expected Goals (xG)
2.02
Juventus
vs
0.98
Genoa
Markets
BTTS54.0%
Over 0.595.2%
Over 1.579.9%
Over 2.557.6%
Over 3.535.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
10.2%
2-0
10.2%
2-1
10.0%
1-1
9.7%
3-0
6.8%
3-1
6.7%
0-1
5.0%
2-2
4.9%
1-2
4.8%
0-0
4.8%
4-0
3.5%
4-1
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).