Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.2%
Stockport
30.2%
Draw
25.6%
Southend
Expected Goals (xG)
1.32
Stockport
vs
0.94
Southend
Markets
BTTS45.8%
Over 0.588.5%
Over 1.567.1%
Over 2.539.4%
Over 3.519.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.0%
1-0
12.7%
0-0
11.5%
2-0
9.1%
0-1
8.7%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
6.1%
0-2
4.6%
2-2
4.0%
3-0
4.0%
3-1
3.8%
1-3
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).