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15 Sept 2024 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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11.1%
Kasımpaşa
21.1%
Draw
67.8%
Fenerbahce

Expected Goals (xG)

0.97

Kasımpaşa

vs
2.44

Fenerbahce

Markets

BTTS58.6%
Over 0.594.7%
Over 1.587.4%
Over 2.566.2%
Over 3.544.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
9.9%
1-1
9.8%
1-2
9.5%
0-3
8.0%
1-3
7.8%
0-1
6.1%
0-0
5.3%
0-4
4.9%
1-4
4.7%
2-2
4.6%
2-1
3.8%
2-3
3.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).