Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →55.3%
Nantes
25.5%
Draw
19.2%
Dijon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.50
Nantes
vs
0.76
Dijon
Markets
BTTS41.0%
Over 0.589.9%
Over 1.565.6%
Over 2.539.3%
Over 3.519.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.0%
2-0
11.8%
1-1
11.6%
0-0
10.1%
2-1
8.9%
0-1
8.2%
3-0
5.9%
1-2
4.5%
3-1
4.5%
2-2
3.4%
0-2
3.0%
4-0
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).