Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →14.8%
Sampdoria
24.3%
Draw
60.8%
Lazio
Expected Goals (xG)
0.64
Sampdoria
vs
1.60
Lazio
Markets
BTTS37.4%
Over 0.589.5%
Over 1.565.2%
Over 2.538.7%
Over 3.518.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
17.3%
0-2
13.6%
1-1
10.7%
0-0
10.5%
1-2
8.7%
0-3
7.3%
1-0
7.0%
1-3
4.6%
2-1
3.5%
0-4
2.9%
2-2
2.8%
2-0
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).