Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →22.3%
Cheltenham
21.5%
Draw
56.1%
Milton Keynes Dons
Expected Goals (xG)
1.10
Cheltenham
vs
1.89
Milton Keynes Dons
Markets
BTTS56.3%
Over 0.595.4%
Over 1.579.6%
Over 2.557.6%
Over 3.535.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.0%
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.9%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
6.2%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
5.8%
0-3
5.6%
2-2
5.5%
0-0
4.6%
2-3
3.4%
2-0
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).