Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →15.5%
Elche
19.5%
Draw
65.0%
Real Madrid
Expected Goals (xG)
0.99
Elche
vs
2.22
Real Madrid
Markets
BTTS56.3%
Over 0.595.8%
Over 1.583.3%
Over 2.562.3%
Over 3.540.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
9.9%
1-2
9.8%
1-1
9.1%
0-1
8.7%
0-3
7.3%
1-3
7.3%
2-2
4.9%
2-1
4.4%
0-0
4.2%
0-4
4.1%
1-4
4.0%
1-0
3.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).