Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.9%
Swindon
27.3%
Draw
35.7%
Leyton Orient
Expected Goals (xG)
1.16
Swindon
vs
1.14
Leyton Orient
Markets
BTTS46.1%
Over 0.590.5%
Over 1.566.4%
Over 2.540.4%
Over 3.520.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.7%
1-0
12.2%
0-1
11.9%
0-0
9.5%
2-1
7.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-0
6.8%
0-2
6.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-1
3.0%
1-3
2.9%
3-0
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).