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12 Nov 2022 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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80.9%
Scunthorpe
12.5%
Draw
6.6%
Maidstone

Expected Goals (xG)

3.07

Scunthorpe

vs
0.84

Maidstone

Markets

BTTS54.5%
Over 0.597.5%
Over 1.590.5%
Over 2.574.7%
Over 3.554.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

3-0
9.7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
8.1%
2-1
7.9%
4-0
7.4%
4-1
6.2%
1-0
5.8%
1-1
5.6%
5-0
4.6%
5-1
3.8%
3-2
3.4%
2-2
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).