Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →19.4%
Setubal
23.0%
Draw
57.6%
Sp Braga
Expected Goals (xG)
0.86
Setubal
vs
1.69
Sp Braga
Markets
BTTS46.6%
Over 0.592.7%
Over 1.571.8%
Over 2.547.0%
Over 3.525.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.7%
0-2
11.2%
1-1
10.8%
1-2
9.6%
0-0
7.3%
1-0
7.2%
0-3
6.3%
1-3
5.4%
2-1
4.9%
2-2
4.1%
2-0
2.9%
0-4
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).