Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.1%
Three Bridges
21.5%
Draw
28.4%
Man United
Expected Goals (xG)
1.93
Three Bridges
vs
1.41
Man United
Markets
BTTS64.4%
Over 0.596.8%
Over 1.584.4%
Over 2.565.0%
Over 3.543.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.3%
2-1
9.3%
1-0
7.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-0
6.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-1
6.0%
0-1
5.3%
3-0
4.3%
3-2
4.2%
0-2
3.5%
0-0
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).