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HHT: 20CSV

04 Mar 2017

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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39.7%
Mechelen
29.1%
Draw
31.2%
Anderlecht

Expected Goals (xG)

1.28

Mechelen

vs
1.11

Anderlecht

Markets

BTTS49.2%
Over 0.590.1%
Over 1.569.8%
Over 2.542.8%
Over 3.522.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.8%
1-0
11.0%
0-0
9.9%
0-1
9.4%
2-1
8.3%
2-0
7.5%
1-2
7.2%
0-2
5.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-1
3.6%
3-0
3.2%
1-3
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).