Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.4%
Exeter
25.1%
Draw
32.5%
Plymouth
Expected Goals (xG)
1.32
Exeter
vs
1.11
Plymouth
Markets
BTTS48.1%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.568.8%
Over 2.543.8%
Over 3.522.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.7%
1-1
11.8%
0-1
10.9%
2-1
8.5%
0-0
7.7%
2-0
7.6%
1-2
7.2%
0-2
5.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-1
3.7%
3-0
3.4%
1-3
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).