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DHT: 11

17 Sept 2025 · 18:45

Bury

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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50.4%
Romsey Town
24.0%
Draw
25.6%
Bury

Expected Goals (xG)

1.62

Romsey Town

vs
1.08

Bury

Markets

BTTS52.7%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.574.8%
Over 2.550.7%
Over 3.528.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.5%
2-0
8.8%
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.3%
0-0
6.3%
3-1
5.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-0
4.8%
0-2
3.9%
3-2
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).