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10 May 2026 · 00:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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48.7%
Sevilla
23.5%
Draw
27.8%
Espanol

Expected Goals (xG)

1.80

Sevilla

vs
1.31

Espanol

Markets

BTTS61.2%
Over 0.595.3%
Over 1.581.9%
Over 2.560.1%
Over 3.537.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.7%
2-1
9.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-0
7.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-1
5.7%
0-1
5.6%
0-0
4.7%
3-0
4.3%
0-2
3.8%
3-2
3.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).