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DHT: 00

26 Aug 2024 · 17:00

GAIS

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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47.3%
Hammarby
28.6%
Draw
24.1%
GAIS

Expected Goals (xG)

1.50

Hammarby

vs
1.01

GAIS

Markets

BTTS50.7%
Over 0.590.5%
Over 1.572.8%
Over 2.545.9%
Over 3.524.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.6%
1-0
10.9%
0-0
9.5%
2-1
9.2%
2-0
9.2%
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-1
4.6%
3-0
4.6%
0-2
4.1%
3-2
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).