Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →18.0%
Benevento
29.3%
Draw
52.7%
Genoa
Expected Goals (xG)
0.74
Benevento
vs
1.45
Genoa
Markets
BTTS41.2%
Over 0.587.6%
Over 1.565.4%
Over 2.537.4%
Over 3.517.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.0%
1-1
13.2%
0-0
12.4%
0-2
11.7%
1-2
8.7%
1-0
7.1%
0-3
5.6%
2-1
4.5%
1-3
4.2%
2-2
3.2%
2-0
3.1%
0-4
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).