Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.0%
Extremadura UD
23.9%
Draw
44.1%
Santander
Expected Goals (xG)
1.35
Extremadura UD
vs
1.63
Santander
Markets
BTTS59.5%
Over 0.595.0%
Over 1.579.7%
Over 2.557.3%
Over 3.534.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.1%
1-2
9.1%
0-1
8.4%
2-1
7.6%
1-0
7.0%
0-2
6.7%
2-2
6.2%
0-0
5.0%
1-3
4.9%
2-0
4.6%
0-3
3.6%
3-1
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).