Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →21.4%
Sunderland
31.6%
Draw
47.0%
Manchester City
Expected Goals (xG)
0.83
Sunderland
vs
1.34
Manchester City
Markets
BTTS43.5%
Over 0.586.9%
Over 1.565.7%
Over 2.537.0%
Over 3.517.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.5%
0-1
13.5%
0-0
13.1%
0-2
10.3%
1-2
8.5%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
5.3%
0-3
4.6%
2-0
3.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-2
3.5%
2-3
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).