Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.3%
La Coruna
30.6%
Draw
27.1%
Leganes
Expected Goals (xG)
1.12
La Coruna
vs
0.83
Leganes
Markets
BTTS37.9%
Over 0.585.9%
Over 1.558.0%
Over 2.531.1%
Over 3.513.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.0%
0-0
14.1%
1-1
13.1%
0-1
11.9%
2-0
8.9%
2-1
7.4%
1-2
5.5%
0-2
4.9%
3-0
3.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-1
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).