Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →62.4%
Roma
22.6%
Draw
15.0%
Udinese
Expected Goals (xG)
1.75
Roma
vs
0.71
Udinese
Markets
BTTS42.0%
Over 0.591.7%
Over 1.570.3%
Over 2.544.7%
Over 3.523.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.1%
2-0
13.0%
1-1
10.5%
2-1
9.3%
0-0
8.3%
3-0
7.6%
0-1
6.3%
3-1
5.4%
1-2
3.8%
2-2
3.3%
4-0
3.3%
4-1
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).