Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.1%
Leganes
27.6%
Draw
29.4%
Mallorca
Expected Goals (xG)
1.39
Leganes
vs
1.10
Mallorca
Markets
BTTS50.6%
Over 0.591.3%
Over 1.571.5%
Over 2.545.4%
Over 3.524.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.8%
0-0
8.7%
0-1
8.7%
2-0
8.0%
1-2
7.0%
0-2
5.0%
2-2
4.9%
3-1
4.1%
3-0
3.7%
1-3
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).