Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.6%
Monaco
20.5%
Draw
30.9%
Marseille
Expected Goals (xG)
2.10
Monaco
vs
1.65
Marseille
Markets
BTTS70.8%
Over 0.597.9%
Over 1.588.7%
Over 2.572.4%
Over 3.551.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
8.5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
7.1%
1-2
6.7%
3-1
6.0%
2-0
5.2%
1-0
5.1%
3-2
4.9%
0-1
4.1%
2-3
3.9%
1-3
3.7%
3-0
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).