Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.1%
Gateshead
26.6%
Draw
29.3%
Truro
Expected Goals (xG)
1.59
Gateshead
vs
1.26
Truro
Markets
BTTS58.0%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.578.7%
Over 2.554.2%
Over 3.531.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.6%
2-1
9.2%
1-0
8.2%
2-0
7.3%
1-2
7.3%
0-0
6.8%
0-1
6.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-1
4.9%
0-2
4.6%
3-0
3.9%
3-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).