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DHT: 11CSV

21 Sept 2024 · 12:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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23.9%
Fortuna Dusseldorf
32.2%
Draw
43.9%
FC Koln

Expected Goals (xG)

0.83

Fortuna Dusseldorf

vs
1.22

FC Koln

Markets

BTTS41.0%
Over 0.585.8%
Over 1.562.0%
Over 2.533.7%
Over 3.515.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
14.4%
1-1
14.3%
0-0
14.2%
0-2
9.6%
1-0
9.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-1
5.4%
2-0
4.4%
0-3
3.9%
2-2
3.3%
1-3
3.2%
3-1
1.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).