Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.1%
Hatayspor
26.8%
Draw
27.1%
Karagumruk
Expected Goals (xG)
1.93
Hatayspor
vs
1.47
Karagumruk
Markets
BTTS68.3%
Over 0.594.3%
Over 1.587.7%
Over 2.566.1%
Over 3.544.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.8%
2-1
9.1%
1-2
7.0%
2-2
6.7%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.9%
0-0
5.7%
3-2
4.3%
1-0
4.0%
3-0
4.0%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).