Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.4%
Dover Athletic
26.5%
Draw
24.1%
Ebbsfleet
Expected Goals (xG)
1.64
Dover Athletic
vs
1.08
Ebbsfleet
Markets
BTTS54.2%
Over 0.592.4%
Over 1.576.5%
Over 2.551.1%
Over 3.529.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.6%
2-0
8.8%
0-0
7.6%
1-2
6.3%
0-1
6.2%
3-1
5.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-0
4.8%
0-2
3.9%
3-2
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).