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30 Mar 2025 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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68.7%
Hajduk Split
22.9%
Draw
8.5%
Šibenik

Expected Goals (xG)

1.86

Hajduk Split

vs
0.52

Šibenik

Markets

BTTS35.2%
Over 0.589.6%
Over 1.569.7%
Over 2.542.4%
Over 3.521.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
16.2%
2-0
16.0%
0-0
10.4%
1-1
10.1%
3-0
9.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-0
4.6%
0-1
3.7%
4-1
2.4%
1-2
2.3%
2-2
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).