Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.9%
Albacete
22.3%
Draw
15.9%
Cartagena
Expected Goals (xG)
1.81
Albacete
vs
0.79
Cartagena
Markets
BTTS45.5%
Over 0.592.7%
Over 1.573.1%
Over 2.548.1%
Over 3.526.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.6%
2-0
12.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-0
7.4%
0-0
7.3%
0-1
6.0%
3-1
5.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-2
3.8%
4-0
3.3%
4-1
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).