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04 Feb 2025 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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40.2%
Queens Park Rangers
29.8%
Draw
30.0%
Blackburn

Expected Goals (xG)

1.29

Queens Park Rangers

vs
1.08

Blackburn

Markets

BTTS49.1%
Over 0.589.6%
Over 1.569.8%
Over 2.542.5%
Over 3.521.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.1%
1-0
10.9%
0-0
10.4%
0-1
8.9%
2-1
8.4%
2-0
7.8%
1-2
7.0%
0-2
5.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-1
3.6%
3-0
3.4%
1-3
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).