Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →59.0%
Wrexham
26.7%
Draw
14.2%
Stevenage
Expected Goals (xG)
1.34
Wrexham
vs
0.48
Stevenage
Markets
BTTS27.4%
Over 0.584.7%
Over 1.553.4%
Over 2.527.5%
Over 3.511.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
22.5%
0-0
15.3%
2-0
14.5%
1-1
9.6%
0-1
8.7%
2-1
7.0%
3-0
6.5%
3-1
3.1%
1-2
2.5%
4-0
2.2%
0-2
1.9%
2-2
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).