Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →64.0%
Auxerre
23.3%
Draw
12.8%
Bastia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.56
Auxerre
vs
0.51
Bastia
Markets
BTTS30.8%
Over 0.588.2%
Over 1.560.4%
Over 2.534.2%
Over 3.515.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
20.5%
2-0
15.3%
0-0
11.8%
1-1
9.3%
3-0
7.9%
2-1
7.8%
0-1
7.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-0
3.1%
1-2
2.6%
2-2
2.0%
0-2
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).