Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →78.2%
Burnley
17.1%
Draw
4.7%
Hull
Expected Goals (xG)
2.12
Burnley
vs
0.36
Hull
Markets
BTTS27.4%
Over 0.591.2%
Over 1.571.4%
Over 2.545.2%
Over 3.523.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
18.7%
1-0
17.2%
3-0
13.2%
0-0
8.8%
4-0
7.0%
1-1
6.9%
2-1
6.8%
3-1
4.8%
5-0
3.0%
0-1
2.6%
4-1
2.6%
2-2
1.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).