Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.5%
Spezia
25.7%
Draw
30.8%
Salernitana
Expected Goals (xG)
1.43
Spezia
vs
1.16
Salernitana
Markets
BTTS52.1%
Over 0.592.8%
Over 1.573.0%
Over 2.548.1%
Over 3.526.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.9%
0-1
8.9%
2-0
7.7%
0-0
7.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-2
5.2%
0-2
5.0%
3-1
4.3%
3-0
3.7%
1-3
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).