Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →14.6%
Reggiana
22.1%
Draw
63.3%
Sassuolo
Expected Goals (xG)
0.91
Reggiana
vs
2.07
Sassuolo
Markets
BTTS53.0%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.580.6%
Over 2.557.1%
Over 3.534.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
10.9%
1-1
10.5%
1-2
9.9%
0-1
9.6%
0-3
7.5%
1-3
6.8%
0-0
6.1%
2-2
4.5%
2-1
4.3%
0-4
3.9%
1-0
3.7%
1-4
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).