Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.7%
Altrincham
26.1%
Draw
25.3%
Dorking
Expected Goals (xG)
1.68
Altrincham
vs
1.15
Dorking
Markets
BTTS56.7%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.578.4%
Over 2.553.8%
Over 3.531.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.4%
2-1
9.6%
1-0
8.9%
2-0
8.3%
0-0
6.8%
1-2
6.6%
0-1
5.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-1
5.4%
3-0
4.6%
0-2
3.9%
3-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).